Oracle Corp (ORCL): stock score 39/100

Oracle Corp (ORCL) scores 39 out of 100 (below average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

ORCL scores 38.7 out of 100 (below average), up 6.7 points from last week. Its fundamentals add the most (+8.8 points: revenue growth vs a year earlier: +29.6%). Its price trend weighs on it most (-9.5 points: price is -15.7% vs its 100-day average). Fundamentals have not yet been tested in our research.

How the score is built

Trend: 2/100 (-9.5 points)

1. Price is -15.7% vs its 100-day average → higher than 4% of the comparison group → 4
2. 12-1 month momentum -46.9% → higher than 2% of the comparison group → 2
3. Average of the two → trend score 2.5

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 15/100 (-7.1 points)

1. Forecast 49.9% vs normal 45.4% → ratio 1.10
2. Ratio is higher than 85% of the comparison group → 100 minus 85 → stability 14.6 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 94/100 (+8.8 points)

1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +29.6% → higher than 96% of the comparison group → 96
2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +6.1 pp → higher than 89% of the comparison group → 89
3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -8.6 pp → higher than 96% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 96
4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 93.8

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 32/100 (-3.7 points)

1. Average FinBERT sentiment -0.095 over 127 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone -0.091
2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 31.5

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

ORCL score history (weekly)

Technology stocks compared

• TXN: 68/100
• EMR: 65/100
• NVDA: 64/100
• AAPL: 61/100
• V: 56/100
• MSFT: 56/100
• GOOGL: 54/100
• GOOG: 54/100
• META: 51/100
• GE: 50/100
• IBM: 50/100
• MA: 49/100
• ACN: 47/100
• INTC: 47/100
• CRM: 45/100
• CSCO: 43/100
• ADBE: 40/100
• ORCL: 39/100
• CAT: 38/100
• PYPL: 33/100
• QCOM: 27/100

Questions

What is Oracle Corp's (ORCL) Quantooo score today?

ORCL scores 39 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, below average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 83rd of 99 overall and 18th of 21 in Technology. It was 32 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers ORCL's score?

Fundamentals adds the most (94/100, +8.8 points) and trend weighs on it most (2/100, -9.5 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is ORCL stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 49.9% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 45.5% for ORCL: bumpier than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 15/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are Oracle Corp's fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +29.6%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +6.1 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -8.6 pp. Fundamentals score: 94/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-09-11 (period to 2026-08-31).

Does the score predict ORCL's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Technology. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.