Mastercard Inc (MA): stock score 49/100
Mastercard Inc (MA) scores 49 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.
MA scores 48.7 out of 100 (around average), up 2.6 points from last week. Its price trend adds the most (+2.1 points: price is +14.7% vs its 100-day average). Its news tone weighs on it most (-4.8 points: average FinBERT sentiment +0.091 over 26 articles). Our research found no proven record of these factors predicting returns.
How the score is built
Trend: 61/100 (+2.1 points)
- Price is +14.7% vs its 100-day average → higher than 91% of the comparison group → 91
- 12-1 month momentum -1.6% → higher than 30% of the comparison group → 30
- Average of the two → trend score 60.6
Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.
Stability: 58/100 (+1.6 points)
- Forecast 20.3% vs normal 20.0% → ratio 1.02
- Ratio is higher than 42% of the comparison group → 100 minus 42 → stability 58.1 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)
A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.
Fundamentals: 48/100 (-0.4 points)
- Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +14.9% → higher than 76% of the comparison group → 76
- Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +1.3 pp → higher than 59% of the comparison group → 59
- Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +5.5 pp → higher than 10% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 10
- Average of available items → fundamentals score 48.0
Not yet tested in our research.
Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)
- VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
- Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
- Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
- Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
- Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)
Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.
News tone: 26/100 (-4.8 points)
- Average FinBERT sentiment +0.091 over 26 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone +0.076
- Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 26.0
Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.
MA score history (weekly)
| Week ending | Score | Band | Trend | Stability | Fundamentals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 49 | Around average | 61 | 58 | 48 |
| 2026-10-16 | 53 | Around average | 61 | 55 | 49 |
| 2026-10-09 | 56 | Around average | 57 | 24 | 49 |
| 2026-10-02 | 52 | Around average | 56 | 48 | 49 |
| 2026-09-25 | 60 | Around average | 58 | 49 | 49 |
| 2026-09-18 | 55 | Around average | 51 | 61 | 49 |
| 2026-09-11 | 46 | Around average | 49 | 52 | 49 |
| 2026-09-04 | 47 | Around average | 49 | 41 | 49 |
| 2026-08-28 | 48 | Around average | 58 | 28 | 49 |
| 2026-08-21 | 63 | Above average | 51 | 52 | 50 |
| 2026-08-14 | 67 | Above average | 48 | 61 | 50 |
| 2026-08-07 | 62 | Above average | 46 | 39 | 50 |
Technology stocks compared
- TXN: 68/100
- EMR: 65/100
- NVDA: 64/100
- AAPL: 61/100
- V: 56/100
- MSFT: 56/100
- GOOGL: 54/100
- GOOG: 54/100
- META: 51/100
- GE: 50/100
- IBM: 50/100
- MA: 49/100
- ACN: 47/100
- INTC: 47/100
- CRM: 45/100
- CSCO: 43/100
- ADBE: 40/100
- ORCL: 39/100
- CAT: 38/100
- PYPL: 33/100
- QCOM: 27/100
Questions
What is Mastercard Inc's (MA) Quantooo score today?
MA scores 49 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 52nd of 99 overall and 12th of 21 in Technology. It was 46 a week earlier.
What raises and lowers MA's score?
Trend adds the most (61/100, +2.1 points) and news tone weighs on it most (26/100, -4.8 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.
Is MA stock volatile right now?
Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 20.3% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 20.0% for MA: about as calm as usual for this stock. Its stability score is 58/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.
How are Mastercard Inc's fundamentals changing?
Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +14.9%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +1.3 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +5.5 pp. Fundamentals score: 48/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-07-30 (period to 2026-06-30).
Does the score predict MA's share price?
No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.
Sector: Technology. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.