Adobe Inc. (ADBE): stock score 40/100

Adobe Inc. (ADBE) scores 40 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

ADBE scores 40.3 out of 100 (around average), up 7.6 points from last week. No component raises it much. Its stability weighs on it most (-6.1 points: forecast 37.2% vs normal 34.1%). Our research found no proven record of these factors predicting returns.

How the score is built

Trend: 43/100 (-1.4 points)

1. Price is +11.3% vs its 100-day average → higher than 81% of the comparison group → 81
2. 12-1 month momentum -32.7% → higher than 5% of the comparison group → 5
3. Average of the two → trend score 42.9

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 20/100 (-6.1 points)

1. Forecast 37.2% vs normal 34.1% → ratio 1.09
2. Ratio is higher than 80% of the comparison group → 100 minus 80 → stability 19.7 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 39/100 (-2.3 points)

1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +12.5% → higher than 72% of the comparison group → 72
2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: -1.2 pp → higher than 21% of the comparison group → 21
3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +1.7 pp → higher than 23% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 23
4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 38.7

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 49/100 (-0.1 points)

1. Average FinBERT sentiment -0.049 over 43 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone -0.044
2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 49.4

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

ADBE score history (weekly)

Technology stocks compared

• TXN: 68/100
• EMR: 65/100
• NVDA: 64/100
• AAPL: 61/100
• V: 56/100
• MSFT: 56/100
• GOOGL: 54/100
• GOOG: 54/100
• META: 51/100
• GE: 50/100
• IBM: 50/100
• MA: 49/100
• ACN: 47/100
• INTC: 47/100
• CRM: 45/100
• CSCO: 43/100
• ADBE: 40/100
• ORCL: 39/100
• CAT: 38/100
• PYPL: 33/100
• QCOM: 27/100

Questions

What is Adobe Inc.'s (ADBE) Quantooo score today?

ADBE scores 40 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 79th of 99 overall and 17th of 21 in Technology. It was 33 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers ADBE's score?

Market backdrop adds the most (51/100, +0.2 points) and stability weighs on it most (20/100, -6.1 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is ADBE stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 37.2% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 34.1% for ADBE: bumpier than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 20/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are Adobe Inc.'s fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +12.5%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: -1.2 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +1.7 pp. Fundamentals score: 39/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-09-22 (period to 2026-08-28).

Does the score predict ADBE's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Technology. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.