Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL): stock score 54/100

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) scores 54 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

GOOGL scores 54.4 out of 100 (around average), down 4.7 points from last week. Its stability adds the most (+3.8 points: forecast 30.5% vs normal 30.3%). Its news tone weighs on it most (-1.0 points: average FinBERT sentiment +0.044 over 346 articles). Our risk model is tested on the S&P 500 only.

How the score is built

Trend: 48/100 (-0.5 points)

  1. Price is -7.0% vs its 100-day average → higher than 16% of the comparison group → 16
  2. 12-1 month momentum +35.2% → higher than 79% of the comparison group → 79
  3. Average of the two → trend score 47.5

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 69/100 (+3.8 points)

  1. Forecast 30.5% vs normal 30.3% → ratio 1.01
  2. Ratio is higher than 31% of the comparison group → 100 minus 31 → stability 69.2 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 59/100 (+1.9 points)

  1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +23.1% → higher than 90% of the comparison group → 90
  2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +1.9 pp → higher than 71% of the comparison group → 71
  3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +2.8 pp → higher than 17% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 17
  4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 59.3

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

  1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
  2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
  3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
  4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
  5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 45/100 (-1.0 points)

  1. Average FinBERT sentiment +0.044 over 346 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone +0.044
  2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 45.0

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

GOOGL score history (weekly)

Week endingScoreBandTrendStabilityFundamentals
2026-10-2254Around average476959
2026-10-1657Around average586960
2026-10-0960Above average685860
2026-10-0255Around average644960
2026-09-2555Around average585760
2026-09-1854Around average596360
2026-09-1155Around average477160
2026-09-0460Above average527661
2026-08-2860Above average575661
2026-08-2159Around average584761
2026-08-1450Around average563561
2026-08-0755Around average646061

Technology stocks compared

Questions

What is Alphabet Inc.'s (GOOGL) Quantooo score today?

GOOGL scores 54 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 30th of 99 overall and 7th of 21 in Technology. It was 59 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers GOOGL's score?

Stability adds the most (69/100, +3.8 points) and news tone weighs on it most (45/100, -1.0 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is GOOGL stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 30.5% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 30.3% for GOOGL: about as calm as usual for this stock. Its stability score is 69/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are Alphabet Inc.'s fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +23.1%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +1.9 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +2.8 pp. Fundamentals score: 59/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-07-23 (period to 2026-06-30).

Does the score predict GOOGL's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Technology. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.