International Business Machines Corp (IBM): stock score 50/100
International Business Machines Corp (IBM) scores 50 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.
IBM scores 50.0 out of 100 (around average), up 5.8 points from last week. Its news tone adds the most (+9.1 points: average FinBERT sentiment +0.272 over 70 articles). Its stability weighs on it most (-6.3 points: forecast 34.1% vs normal 31.3%). Our research found no proven record of these factors predicting returns.
How the score is built
Trend: 32/100 (-3.5 points)
- Price is +3.6% vs its 100-day average → higher than 51% of the comparison group → 51
- 12-1 month momentum -15.3% → higher than 14% of the comparison group → 14
- Average of the two → trend score 32.3
Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.
Stability: 19/100 (-6.3 points)
- Forecast 34.1% vs normal 31.3% → ratio 1.09
- Ratio is higher than 81% of the comparison group → 100 minus 81 → stability 18.7 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)
A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.
Fundamentals: 53/100 (+0.5 points)
- Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +4.9% → higher than 25% of the comparison group → 25
- Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: not available
- Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -3.9 pp → higher than 80% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 80
- Average of available items → fundamentals score 52.7
Not yet tested in our research.
Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)
- VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
- Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
- Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
- Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
- Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)
Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.
News tone: 95/100 (+9.1 points)
- Average FinBERT sentiment +0.272 over 70 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone +0.254
- Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 95.4
Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.
IBM score history (weekly)
| Week ending | Score | Band | Trend | Stability | Fundamentals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 50 | Around average | 32 | 19 | 53 |
| 2026-10-16 | 46 | Around average | 18 | 13 | 53 |
| 2026-10-09 | 43 | Around average | 17 | 5 | 53 |
| 2026-10-02 | 30 | Below average | 14 | 4 | 53 |
| 2026-09-25 | 31 | Below average | 16 | 6 | 54 |
| 2026-09-18 | 33 | Below average | 22 | 6 | 54 |
| 2026-09-11 | 37 | Below average | 29 | 7 | 54 |
| 2026-09-04 | 51 | Around average | 19 | 7 | 54 |
| 2026-08-28 | 46 | Around average | 18 | 8 | 54 |
| 2026-08-21 | 49 | Around average | 18 | 3 | 54 |
| 2026-08-14 | 34 | Below average | 14 | 2 | 54 |
| 2026-08-07 | 34 | Below average | 31 | 1 | 54 |
Technology stocks compared
- TXN: 68/100
- EMR: 65/100
- NVDA: 64/100
- AAPL: 61/100
- V: 56/100
- MSFT: 56/100
- GOOGL: 54/100
- GOOG: 54/100
- META: 51/100
- GE: 50/100
- IBM: 50/100
- MA: 49/100
- ACN: 47/100
- INTC: 47/100
- CRM: 45/100
- CSCO: 43/100
- ADBE: 40/100
- ORCL: 39/100
- CAT: 38/100
- PYPL: 33/100
- QCOM: 27/100
Questions
What is International Business Machines Corp's (IBM) Quantooo score today?
IBM scores 50 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 43rd of 99 overall and 11th of 21 in Technology. It was 44 a week earlier.
What raises and lowers IBM's score?
News tone adds the most (95/100, +9.1 points) and stability weighs on it most (19/100, -6.3 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.
Is IBM stock volatile right now?
Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 34.1% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 31.3% for IBM: bumpier than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 19/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.
How are International Business Machines Corp's fundamentals changing?
Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +4.9%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: not available; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -3.9 pp. Fundamentals score: 53/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-10-22 (period to 2026-09-30).
Does the score predict IBM's share price?
No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.
Sector: Technology. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.