Microsoft Corp (MSFT): stock score 56/100
Microsoft Corp (MSFT) scores 56 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.
MSFT scores 55.7 out of 100 (around average), up 2.8 points from last week. Its fundamentals add the most (+4.0 points: revenue growth vs a year earlier: +17.8%). Its stability weighs on it most (-2.2 points: forecast 25.5% vs normal 24.2%). Fundamentals have not yet been tested in our research.
How the score is built
Trend: 59/100 (+1.7 points)
- Price is +13.6% vs its 100-day average → higher than 88% of the comparison group → 88
- 12-1 month momentum -2.5% → higher than 29% of the comparison group → 29
- Average of the two → trend score 58.6
Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.
Stability: 39/100 (-2.2 points)
- Forecast 25.5% vs normal 24.2% → ratio 1.06
- Ratio is higher than 61% of the comparison group → 100 minus 61 → stability 38.9 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)
A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.
Fundamentals: 70/100 (+4.0 points)
- Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +17.8% → higher than 80% of the comparison group → 80
- Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +1.2 pp → higher than 56% of the comparison group → 56
- Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -2.8 pp → higher than 74% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 74
- Average of available items → fundamentals score 70.0
Not yet tested in our research.
Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)
- VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
- Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
- Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
- Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
- Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)
Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.
News tone: 60/100 (+2.0 points)
- Average FinBERT sentiment +0.030 over 342 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone +0.030
- Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 60.1
Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.
MSFT score history (weekly)
| Week ending | Score | Band | Trend | Stability | Fundamentals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 56 | Around average | 59 | 39 | 70 |
| 2026-10-16 | 54 | Around average | 62 | 33 | 70 |
| 2026-10-09 | 52 | Around average | 59 | 22 | 70 |
| 2026-10-02 | 47 | Around average | 57 | 16 | 70 |
| 2026-09-25 | 49 | Around average | 60 | 14 | 71 |
| 2026-09-18 | 52 | Around average | 58 | 27 | 71 |
| 2026-09-11 | 58 | Around average | 60 | 31 | 71 |
| 2026-09-04 | 60 | Around average | 60 | 20 | 72 |
| 2026-08-28 | 57 | Around average | 59 | 1 | 72 |
| 2026-08-21 | 59 | Around average | 50 | 2 | 72 |
| 2026-08-14 | 59 | Around average | 53 | 3 | 72 |
| 2026-08-07 | 59 | Around average | 54 | 10 | 72 |
Technology stocks compared
- TXN: 68/100
- EMR: 65/100
- NVDA: 64/100
- AAPL: 61/100
- V: 56/100
- MSFT: 56/100
- GOOGL: 54/100
- GOOG: 54/100
- META: 51/100
- GE: 50/100
- IBM: 50/100
- MA: 49/100
- ACN: 47/100
- INTC: 47/100
- CRM: 45/100
- CSCO: 43/100
- ADBE: 40/100
- ORCL: 39/100
- CAT: 38/100
- PYPL: 33/100
- QCOM: 27/100
Questions
What is Microsoft Corp's (MSFT) Quantooo score today?
MSFT scores 56 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 27th of 99 overall and 6th of 21 in Technology. It was 53 a week earlier.
What raises and lowers MSFT's score?
Fundamentals adds the most (70/100, +4.0 points) and stability weighs on it most (39/100, -2.2 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.
Is MSFT stock volatile right now?
Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 25.5% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 24.2% for MSFT: bumpier than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 39/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.
How are Microsoft Corp's fundamentals changing?
Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +17.8%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +1.2 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -2.8 pp. Fundamentals score: 70/100. From the 10-K filed 2026-07-29 (period to 2026-06-30).
Does the score predict MSFT's share price?
No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.
Sector: Technology. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.