Target Corp (TGT): stock score 52/100
Target Corp (TGT) scores 52 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.
TGT scores 51.8 out of 100 (around average), up 4.9 points from last week. Its price trend adds the most (+6.3 points: price is +7.9% vs its 100-day average). Its news tone weighs on it most (-3.1 points: average FinBERT sentiment +0.002 over 14 articles). Our research found no proven record of these factors predicting returns.
How the score is built
Trend: 81/100 (+6.3 points)
- Price is +7.9% vs its 100-day average → higher than 65% of the comparison group → 65
- 12-1 month momentum +72.2% → higher than 97% of the comparison group → 97
- Average of the two → trend score 81.3
Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.
Stability: 38/100 (-2.4 points)
- Forecast 37.7% vs normal 35.6% → ratio 1.06
- Ratio is higher than 62% of the comparison group → 100 minus 62 → stability 37.9 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)
A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.
Fundamentals: 54/100 (+0.8 points)
- Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +6.0% → higher than 30% of the comparison group → 30
- Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +1.4 pp → higher than 60% of the comparison group → 60
- Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -2.5 pp → higher than 72% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 72
- Average of available items → fundamentals score 54.2
Not yet tested in our research.
Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)
- VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
- Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
- Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
- Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
- Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)
Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.
News tone: 35/100 (-3.1 points)
- Average FinBERT sentiment +0.002 over 14 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone +0.001
- Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 34.7
Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.
TGT score history (weekly)
| Week ending | Score | Band | Trend | Stability | Fundamentals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 52 | Around average | 81 | 38 | 54 |
| 2026-10-16 | 46 | Around average | 82 | 30 | 55 |
| 2026-10-09 | 48 | Around average | 88 | 27 | 55 |
| 2026-10-02 | 48 | Around average | 95 | 24 | 55 |
| 2026-09-25 | 59 | Around average | 94 | 25 | 55 |
| 2026-09-18 | 60 | Above average | 96 | 62 | 55 |
| 2026-09-11 | 70 | Above average | 94 | 55 | 55 |
| 2026-09-04 | 73 | Above average | 97 | 53 | 56 |
| 2026-08-28 | 75 | Above average | 93 | 62 | 56 |
| 2026-08-21 | 74 | Above average | 88 | 68 | 39 |
| 2026-08-14 | 69 | Above average | 85 | 40 | 39 |
| 2026-08-07 | 69 | Above average | 80 | 50 | 40 |
Consumer discretionary stocks compared
- TGT: 52/100
- GM: 50/100
- CVS: 50/100
- NFLX: 49/100
- DIS: 48/100
- AMZN: 46/100
- COST: 45/100
- WMT: 45/100
- LOW: 41/100
- SBUX: 39/100
- HD: 38/100
- F: 33/100
- MCD: 29/100
Questions
What is Target Corp's (TGT) Quantooo score today?
TGT scores 52 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 35th of 99 overall and 1st of 13 in Consumer discretionary. It was 47 a week earlier.
What raises and lowers TGT's score?
Trend adds the most (81/100, +6.3 points) and news tone weighs on it most (35/100, -3.1 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.
Is TGT stock volatile right now?
Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 37.7% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 35.6% for TGT: bumpier than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 38/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.
How are Target Corp's fundamentals changing?
Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +6.0%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +1.4 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -2.5 pp. Fundamentals score: 54/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-08-28 (period to 2026-08-01).
Does the score predict TGT's share price?
No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.
Sector: Consumer discretionary. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.