Walt Disney Co (DIS): stock score 48/100
Walt Disney Co (DIS) scores 48 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.
DIS scores 48.0 out of 100 (around average), up 2.7 points from last week. Its stability adds the most (+7.3 points: forecast 26.3% vs normal 27.0%). Its news tone weighs on it most (-5.2 points: average FinBERT sentiment -0.085 over 48 articles). Our risk model is tested on the S&P 500 only.
How the score is built
Trend: 50/100 (+0.0 points)
- Price is +10.1% vs its 100-day average → higher than 78% of the comparison group → 78
- 12-1 month momentum -8.2% → higher than 22% of the comparison group → 22
- Average of the two → trend score 50.0
Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.
Stability: 86/100 (+7.3 points)
- Forecast 26.3% vs normal 27.0% → ratio 0.97
- Ratio is higher than 14% of the comparison group → 100 minus 14 → stability 86.4 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)
A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.
Fundamentals: 29/100 (-4.2 points)
- Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +6.2% → higher than 31% of the comparison group → 31
- Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: -0.2 pp → higher than 33% of the comparison group → 33
- Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +1.8 pp → higher than 22% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 22
- Average of available items → fundamentals score 28.7
Not yet tested in our research.
Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)
- VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
- Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
- Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
- Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
- Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)
Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.
News tone: 24/100 (-5.2 points)
- Average FinBERT sentiment -0.085 over 48 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone -0.077
- Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 24.0
Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.
DIS score history (weekly)
| Week ending | Score | Band | Trend | Stability | Fundamentals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 48 | Around average | 50 | 86 | 29 |
| 2026-10-16 | 45 | Around average | 50 | 87 | 30 |
| 2026-10-09 | 44 | Around average | 48 | 78 | 31 |
| 2026-10-02 | 43 | Around average | 42 | 66 | 31 |
| 2026-09-25 | 51 | Around average | 45 | 80 | 31 |
| 2026-09-18 | 50 | Around average | 37 | 58 | 31 |
| 2026-09-11 | 52 | Around average | 37 | 70 | 31 |
| 2026-09-04 | 45 | Around average | 32 | 70 | 31 |
| 2026-08-28 | 59 | Around average | 34 | 54 | 31 |
| 2026-08-21 | 60 | Around average | 35 | 60 | 31 |
| 2026-08-14 | 63 | Above average | 35 | 71 | 31 |
| 2026-08-07 | 56 | Around average | 30 | 48 | 32 |
Consumer discretionary stocks compared
- TGT: 52/100
- GM: 50/100
- CVS: 50/100
- NFLX: 49/100
- DIS: 48/100
- AMZN: 46/100
- COST: 45/100
- WMT: 45/100
- LOW: 41/100
- SBUX: 39/100
- HD: 38/100
- F: 33/100
- MCD: 29/100
Questions
What is Walt Disney Co's (DIS) Quantooo score today?
DIS scores 48 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 54th of 99 overall and 5th of 13 in Consumer discretionary. It was 45 a week earlier.
What raises and lowers DIS's score?
Stability adds the most (86/100, +7.3 points) and news tone weighs on it most (24/100, -5.2 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.
Is DIS stock volatile right now?
Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 26.3% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 27.0% for DIS: about as calm as usual for this stock. Its stability score is 86/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.
How are Walt Disney Co's fundamentals changing?
Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +6.2%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: -0.2 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +1.8 pp. Fundamentals score: 29/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-08-05 (period to 2026-06-27).
Does the score predict DIS's share price?
No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.
Sector: Consumer discretionary. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.