Netflix Inc (NFLX): stock score 49/100

Netflix Inc (NFLX) scores 49 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

NFLX scores 49.0 out of 100 (around average), up 4.5 points from last week. Its stability adds the most (+5.5 points: forecast 33.4% vs normal 33.7%). Its price trend weighs on it most (-8.5 points: price is -10.3% vs its 100-day average). Our risk model is tested on the S&P 500 only.

How the score is built

Trend: 8/100 (-8.5 points)

1. Price is -10.3% vs its 100-day average → higher than 12% of the comparison group → 12
2. 12-1 month momentum -42.5% → higher than 4% of the comparison group → 4
3. Average of the two → trend score 7.6

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 77/100 (+5.5 points)

1. Forecast 33.4% vs normal 33.7% → ratio 0.99
2. Ratio is higher than 23% of the comparison group → 100 minus 23 → stability 77.3 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 75/100 (+5.1 points)

1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +13.7% → higher than 74% of the comparison group → 74
2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +2.2 pp → higher than 79% of the comparison group → 79
3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -2.7 pp → higher than 73% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 73
4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 75.3

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 34/100 (-3.2 points)

1. Average FinBERT sentiment -0.072 over 136 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone -0.069
2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 33.9

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

NFLX score history (weekly)

Consumer discretionary stocks compared

• TGT: 52/100
• GM: 50/100
• CVS: 50/100
• NFLX: 49/100
• DIS: 48/100
• AMZN: 46/100
• COST: 45/100
• WMT: 45/100
• LOW: 41/100
• SBUX: 39/100
• HD: 38/100
• F: 33/100
• MCD: 29/100

Questions

What is Netflix Inc's (NFLX) Quantooo score today?

NFLX scores 49 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 49th of 99 overall and 4th of 13 in Consumer discretionary. It was 45 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers NFLX's score?

Stability adds the most (77/100, +5.5 points) and trend weighs on it most (8/100, -8.5 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is NFLX stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 33.4% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 33.7% for NFLX: about as calm as usual for this stock. Its stability score is 77/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are Netflix Inc's fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +13.7%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +2.2 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -2.7 pp. Fundamentals score: 75/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-10-21 (period to 2026-09-30).

Does the score predict NFLX's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Consumer discretionary. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.