Starbucks Corp (SBUX): stock score 39/100
Starbucks Corp (SBUX) scores 39 out of 100 (below average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.
SBUX scores 38.8 out of 100 (below average), up 4.1 points from last week. Its stability adds the most (+1.8 points: forecast 32.5% vs normal 32.0%). Its news tone weighs on it most (-7.1 points: average FinBERT sentiment -0.170 over 32 articles). Our risk model is tested on the S&P 500 only.
How the score is built
Trend: 48/100 (-0.4 points)
- Price is +0.9% vs its 100-day average → higher than 43% of the comparison group → 43
- 12-1 month momentum +12.4% → higher than 53% of the comparison group → 53
- Average of the two → trend score 48.0
Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.
Stability: 59/100 (+1.8 points)
- Forecast 32.5% vs normal 32.0% → ratio 1.02
- Ratio is higher than 41% of the comparison group → 100 minus 41 → stability 59.1 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)
A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.
Fundamentals: 22/100 (-5.7 points)
- Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +4.2% → higher than 22% of the comparison group → 22
- Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: -0.2 pp → higher than 31% of the comparison group → 31
- Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +4.3 pp → higher than 12% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 12
- Average of available items → fundamentals score 21.8
Not yet tested in our research.
Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)
- VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
- Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
- Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
- Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
- Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)
Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.
News tone: 14/100 (-7.1 points)
- Average FinBERT sentiment -0.170 over 32 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone -0.147
- Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 14.5
Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.
SBUX score history (weekly)
| Week ending | Score | Band | Trend | Stability | Fundamentals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 39 | Below average | 48 | 59 | 22 |
| 2026-10-16 | 36 | Below average | 45 | 56 | 23 |
| 2026-10-09 | 37 | Below average | 39 | 51 | 23 |
| 2026-10-02 | 41 | Around average | 49 | 55 | 23 |
| 2026-09-25 | 42 | Around average | 46 | 58 | 23 |
| 2026-09-18 | 44 | Around average | 42 | 54 | 23 |
| 2026-09-11 | 38 | Below average | 46 | 49 | 23 |
| 2026-09-04 | 45 | Around average | 53 | 61 | 23 |
| 2026-08-28 | 46 | Around average | 57 | 60 | 23 |
| 2026-08-21 | 62 | Above average | 52 | 66 | 23 |
| 2026-08-14 | 65 | Above average | 53 | 69 | 23 |
| 2026-08-07 | 64 | Above average | 51 | 65 | 23 |
Consumer discretionary stocks compared
- TGT: 52/100
- GM: 50/100
- CVS: 50/100
- NFLX: 49/100
- DIS: 48/100
- AMZN: 46/100
- COST: 45/100
- WMT: 45/100
- LOW: 41/100
- SBUX: 39/100
- HD: 38/100
- F: 33/100
- MCD: 29/100
Questions
What is Starbucks Corp's (SBUX) Quantooo score today?
SBUX scores 39 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, below average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 82nd of 99 overall and 10th of 13 in Consumer discretionary. It was 35 a week earlier.
What raises and lowers SBUX's score?
Stability adds the most (59/100, +1.8 points) and news tone weighs on it most (14/100, -7.1 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.
Is SBUX stock volatile right now?
Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 32.5% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 32.0% for SBUX: about as calm as usual for this stock. Its stability score is 59/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.
How are Starbucks Corp's fundamentals changing?
Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +4.2%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: -0.2 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +4.3 pp. Fundamentals score: 22/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-07-29 (period to 2026-06-28).
Does the score predict SBUX's share price?
No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.
Sector: Consumer discretionary. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.