Home Depot, Inc. (HD): stock score 38/100
Home Depot, Inc. (HD) scores 38 out of 100 (below average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.
HD scores 38.0 out of 100 (below average), up 1.2 points from last week. No component raises it much. Its stability weighs on it most (-5.9 points: forecast 24.6% vs normal 22.6%). Our research found no proven record of these factors predicting returns.
How the score is built
Trend: 27/100 (-4.7 points)
- Price is +1.8% vs its 100-day average → higher than 45% of the comparison group → 45
- 12-1 month momentum -21.9% → higher than 9% of the comparison group → 9
- Average of the two → trend score 26.8
Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.
Stability: 21/100 (-5.9 points)
- Forecast 24.6% vs normal 22.6% → ratio 1.09
- Ratio is higher than 79% of the comparison group → 100 minus 79 → stability 20.7 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)
A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.
Fundamentals: 46/100 (-0.8 points)
- Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +5.3% → higher than 27% of the comparison group → 27
- Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: -0.5 pp → higher than 28% of the comparison group → 28
- Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -4.5 pp → higher than 82% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 82
- Average of available items → fundamentals score 46.0
Not yet tested in our research.
Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)
- VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
- Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
- Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
- Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
- Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)
Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.
News tone: 46/100 (-0.8 points)
- Average FinBERT sentiment -0.047 over 17 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone -0.036
- Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 45.8
Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.
HD score history (weekly)
| Week ending | Score | Band | Trend | Stability | Fundamentals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 38 | Below average | 27 | 21 | 46 |
| 2026-10-16 | 38 | Below average | 18 | 27 | 46 |
| 2026-10-09 | 40 | Below average | 10 | 36 | 46 |
| 2026-10-02 | 48 | Around average | 7 | 70 | 46 |
| 2026-09-25 | 35 | Below average | 9 | 28 | 46 |
| 2026-09-18 | 42 | Around average | 11 | 64 | 46 |
| 2026-09-11 | 42 | Around average | 13 | 43 | 46 |
| 2026-09-04 | 53 | Around average | 19 | 62 | 47 |
| 2026-08-28 | 55 | Around average | 22 | 51 | 47 |
| 2026-08-21 | 51 | Around average | 27 | 29 | 45 |
| 2026-08-14 | 54 | Around average | 23 | 26 | 45 |
| 2026-08-07 | 53 | Around average | 40 | 33 | 45 |
Consumer discretionary stocks compared
- TGT: 52/100
- GM: 50/100
- CVS: 50/100
- NFLX: 49/100
- DIS: 48/100
- AMZN: 46/100
- COST: 45/100
- WMT: 45/100
- LOW: 41/100
- SBUX: 39/100
- HD: 38/100
- F: 33/100
- MCD: 29/100
Questions
What is Home Depot, Inc.'s (HD) Quantooo score today?
HD scores 38 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, below average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 84th of 99 overall and 11th of 13 in Consumer discretionary. It was 37 a week earlier.
What raises and lowers HD's score?
Market backdrop adds the most (51/100, +0.2 points) and stability weighs on it most (21/100, -5.9 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.
Is HD stock volatile right now?
Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 24.6% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 22.6% for HD: bumpier than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 21/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.
How are Home Depot, Inc.'s fundamentals changing?
Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +5.3%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: -0.5 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -4.5 pp. Fundamentals score: 46/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-08-25 (period to 2026-08-02).
Does the score predict HD's share price?
No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.
Sector: Consumer discretionary. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.