JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM): stock score 49/100

JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) scores 49 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

JPM scores 48.8 out of 100 (around average), down 0.9 points from last week. Its stability adds the most (+7.5 points: forecast 22.1% vs normal 22.7%). Its news tone weighs on it most (-9.8 points: average FinBERT sentiment -0.173 over 106 articles). Our risk model is tested on the S&P 500 only.

How the score is built

Trend: 44/100 (-1.2 points)

  1. Price is -0.9% vs its 100-day average → higher than 34% of the comparison group → 34
  2. 12-1 month momentum +15.2% → higher than 54% of the comparison group → 54
  3. Average of the two → trend score 43.9

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 87/100 (+7.5 points)

  1. Forecast 22.1% vs normal 22.7% → ratio 0.97
  2. Ratio is higher than 13% of the comparison group → 100 minus 13 → stability 87.4 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 61/100 (+2.2 points)

  1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +18.8% → higher than 82% of the comparison group → 82
  2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: not available
  3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +0.4 pp → higher than 40% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 40
  4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 61.1

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

  1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
  2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
  3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
  4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
  5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 1/100 (-9.8 points)

  1. Average FinBERT sentiment -0.173 over 106 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone -0.165
  2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 1.0

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

JPM score history (weekly)

Week endingScoreBandTrendStabilityFundamentals
2026-10-2249Around average448761
2026-10-1650Around average538162
2026-10-0964Above average548162
2026-10-0265Above average567262
2026-09-2562Above average547462
2026-09-1870Above average618562
2026-09-1167Above average668362
2026-09-0470Above average628963
2026-08-2874Above average629063
2026-08-2162Above average618663
2026-08-1466Above average728363
2026-08-0770Above average678063

Financials stocks compared

Questions

What is JPMorgan Chase & Co's (JPM) Quantooo score today?

JPM scores 49 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 50th of 99 overall and 12th of 15 in Financials. It was 50 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers JPM's score?

Stability adds the most (87/100, +7.5 points) and news tone weighs on it most (1/100, -9.8 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is JPM stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 22.1% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 22.7% for JPM: about as calm as usual for this stock. Its stability score is 87/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are JPMorgan Chase & Co's fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +18.8%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: not available; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +0.4 pp. Fundamentals score: 61/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-08-06 (period to 2026-06-30).

Does the score predict JPM's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Financials. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.