American Express Co (AXP): stock score 58/100

American Express Co (AXP) scores 58 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

AXP scores 57.7 out of 100 (around average), up 6.1 points from last week. Its stability adds the most (+7.9 points: forecast 25.7% vs normal 26.7%). Its price trend weighs on it most (-5.0 points: price is -0.9% vs its 100-day average). Our risk model is tested on the S&P 500 only.

How the score is built

Trend: 25/100 (-5.0 points)

1. Price is -0.9% vs its 100-day average → higher than 36% of the comparison group → 36
2. 12-1 month momentum -14.3% → higher than 15% of the comparison group → 15
3. Average of the two → trend score 25.3

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 89/100 (+7.9 points)

1. Forecast 25.7% vs normal 26.7% → ratio 0.96
2. Ratio is higher than 11% of the comparison group → 100 minus 11 → stability 89.4 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 54/100 (+0.9 points)

1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +8.9% → higher than 56% of the comparison group → 56
2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: not available
3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -0.2 pp → higher than 53% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 53
4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 54.5

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 68/100 (+3.7 points)

1. Average FinBERT sentiment +0.139 over 26 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone +0.117
2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 68.5

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

AXP score history (weekly)

Financials stocks compared

• COF: 67/100
• MET: 65/100
• BNY: 65/100
• BLK: 62/100
• USB: 62/100
• BRK.B: 58/100
• AXP: 58/100
• MS: 54/100
• ALL: 52/100
• C: 51/100
• AIG: 49/100
• JPM: 49/100
• GS: 46/100
• BAC: 45/100
• WFC: 40/100

Questions

What is American Express Co's (AXP) Quantooo score today?

AXP scores 58 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 24th of 99 overall and 7th of 15 in Financials. It was 52 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers AXP's score?

Stability adds the most (89/100, +7.9 points) and trend weighs on it most (25/100, -5.0 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is AXP stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 25.7% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 26.8% for AXP: calmer than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 89/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are American Express Co's fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +8.9%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: not available; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -0.2 pp. Fundamentals score: 54/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-07-24 (period to 2026-06-30).

Does the score predict AXP's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Financials. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.