American International Group, Inc. (AIG): stock score 49/100

American International Group, Inc. (AIG) scores 49 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

AIG scores 49.3 out of 100 (around average), up 1.3 points from last week. Its stability adds the most (+6.5 points: forecast 22.4% vs normal 22.9%). Its fundamentals weigh on it most (-5.3 points: revenue growth vs a year earlier: -1.0%). Our risk model is tested on the S&P 500 only.

How the score is built

Trend: 50/100 (+0.1 points)

  1. Price is +8.5% vs its 100-day average → higher than 69% of the comparison group → 69
  2. 12-1 month momentum -1.2% → higher than 32% of the comparison group → 32
  3. Average of the two → trend score 50.5

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 82/100 (+6.5 points)

  1. Forecast 22.4% vs normal 22.9% → ratio 0.98
  2. Ratio is higher than 18% of the comparison group → 100 minus 18 → stability 82.3 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 24/100 (-5.3 points)

  1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: -1.0% → higher than 4% of the comparison group → 4
  2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: not available
  3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +0.2 pp → higher than 44% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 44
  4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 23.7

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

  1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
  2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
  3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
  4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
  5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 39/100 (-2.2 points)

  1. Average FinBERT sentiment +0.236 over 6 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone +0.129
  2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 39.1

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

AIG score history (weekly)

Week endingScoreBandTrendStabilityFundamentals
2026-10-2249Around average518224
2026-10-1648Around average458424
2026-10-0950Around average399024
2026-10-0245Around average388824
2026-09-2544Around average369224
2026-09-1844Around average349324
2026-09-1144Around average299224
2026-09-0458Around average309424
2026-08-2865Above average299724
2026-08-2164Above average299524
2026-08-1464Above average278724
2026-08-0753Around average348524

Financials stocks compared

Questions

What is American International Group, Inc.'s (AIG) Quantooo score today?

AIG scores 49 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 48th of 99 overall and 11th of 15 in Financials. It was 48 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers AIG's score?

Stability adds the most (82/100, +6.5 points) and fundamentals weighs on it most (24/100, -5.3 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is AIG stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 22.4% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 22.9% for AIG: about as calm as usual for this stock. Its stability score is 82/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are American International Group, Inc.'s fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: -1.0%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: not available; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +0.2 pp. Fundamentals score: 24/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-08-07 (period to 2026-06-30).

Does the score predict AIG's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Financials. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.