Union Pacific Corp (UNP): stock score 68/100

Union Pacific Corp (UNP) scores 68 out of 100 (above average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

UNP scores 67.6 out of 100 (above average), up 14.3 points from last week. Its stability adds the most (+8.9 points: forecast 20.6% vs normal 21.5%). No component lowers it much. Our risk model is tested on the S&P 500 only.

How the score is built

Trend: 61/100 (+2.1 points)

1. Price is +5.1% vs its 100-day average → higher than 55% of the comparison group → 55
2. 12-1 month momentum +24.2% → higher than 66% of the comparison group → 66
3. Average of the two → trend score 60.6

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 94/100 (+8.9 points)

1. Forecast 20.6% vs normal 21.5% → ratio 0.96
2. Ratio is higher than 6% of the comparison group → 100 minus 6 → stability 94.4 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 60/100 (+2.1 points)

1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +10.1% → higher than 60% of the comparison group → 60
2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: -0.1 pp → higher than 36% of the comparison group → 36
3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -5.1 pp → higher than 86% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 86
4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 60.5

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 72/100 (+4.3 points)

1. Average FinBERT sentiment +0.200 over 19 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone +0.158
2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 71.6

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

UNP score history (weekly)

Industrials stocks compared

• UNP: 68/100
• LMT: 64/100
• TMO: 59/100
• DHR: 55/100
• FDX: 52/100
• GD: 51/100
• BA: 48/100
• HON: 48/100
• NKE: 41/100
• UPS: 34/100
• BKNG: 27/100

Questions

What is Union Pacific Corp's (UNP) Quantooo score today?

UNP scores 68 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, above average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 4th of 99 overall and 1st of 11 in Industrials. It was 53 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers UNP's score?

Stability adds the most (94/100, +8.9 points) and market backdrop weighs on it most (51/100, +0.2 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is UNP stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 20.5% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 21.5% for UNP: calmer than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 94/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are Union Pacific Corp's fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +10.1%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: -0.1 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -5.1 pp. Fundamentals score: 60/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-10-22 (period to 2026-09-30).

Does the score predict UNP's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Industrials. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.