Fedex Corp (FDX): stock score 52/100

Fedex Corp (FDX) scores 52 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

FDX scores 51.7 out of 100 (around average), up 1.4 points from last week. Its news tone adds the most (+2.7 points: average FinBERT sentiment +0.215 over 14 articles). Its fundamentals weigh on it most (-1.3 points: revenue growth vs a year earlier: +7.7%). Our research found no proven record of these factors predicting returns.

How the score is built

Trend: 57/100 (+1.4 points)

1. Price is -2.7% vs its 100-day average → higher than 24% of the comparison group → 24
2. 12-1 month momentum +51.6% → higher than 90% of the comparison group → 90
3. Average of the two → trend score 57.1

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 44/100 (-1.2 points)

1. Forecast 32.5% vs normal 31.0% → ratio 1.05
2. Ratio is higher than 56% of the comparison group → 100 minus 56 → stability 43.9 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 43/100 (-1.3 points)

1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +7.7% → higher than 49% of the comparison group → 49
2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: -0.2 pp → higher than 34% of the comparison group → 34
3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +0.1 pp → higher than 47% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 47
4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 43.4

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 63/100 (+2.7 points)

1. Average FinBERT sentiment +0.215 over 14 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone +0.158
2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 63.3

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

FDX score history (weekly)

Industrials stocks compared

• UNP: 68/100
• LMT: 64/100
• TMO: 59/100
• DHR: 55/100
• FDX: 52/100
• GD: 51/100
• BA: 48/100
• HON: 48/100
• NKE: 41/100
• UPS: 34/100
• BKNG: 27/100

Questions

What is Fedex Corp's (FDX) Quantooo score today?

FDX scores 52 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 36th of 99 overall and 5th of 11 in Industrials. It was 50 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers FDX's score?

News tone adds the most (63/100, +2.7 points) and fundamentals weighs on it most (43/100, -1.3 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is FDX stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 32.5% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 31.0% for FDX: bumpier than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 44/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are Fedex Corp's fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +7.7%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: -0.2 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +0.1 pp. Fundamentals score: 43/100. From the 10-K filed 2026-07-20 (period to 2026-05-31).

Does the score predict FDX's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Industrials. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.