Nike, Inc. (NKE): stock score 41/100

Nike, Inc. (NKE) scores 41 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

NKE scores 40.7 out of 100 (around average), up 2.9 points from last week. Its news tone adds the most (+5.3 points: average FinBERT sentiment -0.017 over 90 articles). Its price trend weighs on it most (-7.8 points: price is -3.8% vs its 100-day average). Our research found no proven record of these factors predicting returns.

How the score is built

Trend: 11/100 (-7.8 points)

1. Price is -3.8% vs its 100-day average → higher than 20% of the comparison group → 20
2. 12-1 month momentum -45.5% → higher than 3% of the comparison group → 3
3. Average of the two → trend score 11.1

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 24/100 (-5.2 points)

1. Forecast 38.5% vs normal 35.6% → ratio 1.08
2. Ratio is higher than 76% of the comparison group → 100 minus 76 → stability 23.7 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 41/100 (-1.7 points)

1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: -4.3% → higher than 2% of the comparison group → 2
2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: not available
3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -4.2 pp → higher than 81% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 81
4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 41.4

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 76/100 (+5.3 points)

1. Average FinBERT sentiment -0.017 over 90 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone -0.016
2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 76.4

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

NKE score history (weekly)

Industrials stocks compared

• UNP: 68/100
• LMT: 64/100
• TMO: 59/100
• DHR: 55/100
• FDX: 52/100
• GD: 51/100
• BA: 48/100
• HON: 48/100
• NKE: 41/100
• UPS: 34/100
• BKNG: 27/100

Questions

What is Nike, Inc.'s (NKE) Quantooo score today?

NKE scores 41 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 77th of 99 overall and 9th of 11 in Industrials. It was 38 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers NKE's score?

News tone adds the most (76/100, +5.3 points) and trend weighs on it most (11/100, -7.8 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is NKE stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 38.5% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 35.6% for NKE: bumpier than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 24/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are Nike, Inc.'s fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: -4.3%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: not available; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -4.2 pp. Fundamentals score: 41/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-10-02 (period to 2026-08-31).

Does the score predict NKE's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Industrials. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.