Philip Morris International Inc. (PM): stock score 50/100

Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) scores 50 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

PM scores 49.8 out of 100 (around average), down 4.8 points from last week. Its fundamentals add the most (+4.7 points: revenue growth vs a year earlier: +9.8%). Its stability weighs on it most (-5.7 points: forecast 24.9% vs normal 22.9%). Fundamentals have not yet been tested in our research.

How the score is built

Trend: 72/100 (+4.3 points)

1. Price is +8.0% vs its 100-day average → higher than 67% of the comparison group → 67
2. 12-1 month momentum +28.9% → higher than 76% of the comparison group → 76
3. Average of the two → trend score 71.7

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 22/100 (-5.7 points)

1. Forecast 24.9% vs normal 22.9% → ratio 1.09
2. Ratio is higher than 78% of the comparison group → 100 minus 78 → stability 21.7 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 73/100 (+4.7 points)

1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +9.8% → higher than 59% of the comparison group → 59
2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +2.2 pp → higher than 78% of the comparison group → 78
3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -4.9 pp → higher than 84% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 84
4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 73.4

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 32/100 (-3.7 points)

1. Average FinBERT sentiment -0.005 over 20 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone -0.004
2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 31.5

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

PM score history (weekly)

Consumer staples stocks compared

• KO: 61/100
• PM: 50/100
• MDLZ: 50/100
• KHC: 43/100
• PEP: 41/100
• MO: 39/100

Questions

What is Philip Morris International Inc.'s (PM) Quantooo score today?

PM scores 50 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 44th of 99 overall and 2nd of 6 in Consumer staples. It was 55 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers PM's score?

Fundamentals adds the most (73/100, +4.7 points) and stability weighs on it most (22/100, -5.7 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is PM stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 24.9% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 22.9% for PM: bumpier than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 22/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are Philip Morris International Inc.'s fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +9.8%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +2.2 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -4.9 pp. Fundamentals score: 73/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-07-24 (period to 2026-06-30).

Does the score predict PM's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Consumer staples. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.