Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ): stock score 50/100

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) scores 50 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

MDLZ scores 49.7 out of 100 (around average), down 0.2 points from last week. Its news tone adds the most (+6.8 points: average FinBERT sentiment +0.262 over 12 articles). Its stability weighs on it most (-6.5 points: forecast 22.3% vs normal 20.4%). Our research found no proven record of these factors predicting returns.

How the score is built

Trend: 52/100 (+0.3 points)

  1. Price is +7.0% vs its 100-day average → higher than 64% of the comparison group → 64
  2. 12-1 month momentum +2.1% → higher than 39% of the comparison group → 39
  3. Average of the two → trend score 51.5

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 18/100 (-6.5 points)

  1. Forecast 22.3% vs normal 20.4% → ratio 1.09
  2. Ratio is higher than 82% of the comparison group → 100 minus 82 → stability 17.7 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 44/100 (-1.1 points)

  1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +8.2% → higher than 54% of the comparison group → 54
  2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +0.7 pp → higher than 51% of the comparison group → 51
  3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +1.2 pp → higher than 28% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 28
  4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 44.5

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

  1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
  2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
  3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
  4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
  5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 84/100 (+6.8 points)

  1. Average FinBERT sentiment +0.262 over 12 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone +0.185
  2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 83.9

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

MDLZ score history (weekly)

Week endingScoreBandTrendStabilityFundamentals
2026-10-2250Around average521844
2026-10-1654Around average495745
2026-10-0947Around average475245
2026-10-0245Around average365845
2026-09-2550Around average406845
2026-09-1848Around average405545
2026-09-1151Around average406245
2026-09-0450Around average384946
2026-08-2851Around average413346
2026-08-2156Around average432546
2026-08-1457Around average412346
2026-08-0758Around average333247

Consumer staples stocks compared

Questions

What is Mondelez International, Inc.'s (MDLZ) Quantooo score today?

MDLZ scores 50 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 45th of 99 overall and 3rd of 6 in Consumer staples. It was 50 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers MDLZ's score?

News tone adds the most (84/100, +6.8 points) and stability weighs on it most (18/100, -6.5 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is MDLZ stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 22.3% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 20.4% for MDLZ: bumpier than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 18/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are Mondelez International, Inc.'s fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +8.2%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +0.7 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +1.2 pp. Fundamentals score: 44/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-04-28 (period to 2026-03-31).

Does the score predict MDLZ's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Consumer staples. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.