Altria Group, Inc. (MO): stock score 39/100

Altria Group, Inc. (MO) scores 39 out of 100 (below average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

MO scores 39.5 out of 100 (below average), down 1.6 points from last week. Its price trend adds the most (+3.0 points: price is +9.8% vs its 100-day average). Its stability weighs on it most (-8.7 points: forecast 21.9% vs normal 18.7%). Our research found no proven record of these factors predicting returns.

How the score is built

Trend: 65/100 (+3.0 points)

1. Price is +9.8% vs its 100-day average → higher than 75% of the comparison group → 75
2. 12-1 month momentum +15.5% → higher than 55% of the comparison group → 55
3. Average of the two → trend score 65.2

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 7/100 (-8.7 points)

1. Forecast 21.9% vs normal 18.7% → ratio 1.17
2. Ratio is higher than 93% of the comparison group → 100 minus 93 → stability 6.6 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 58/100 (+1.5 points)

1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +1.6% → higher than 11% of the comparison group → 11
2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +8.6 pp → higher than 93% of the comparison group → 93
3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -2.1 pp → higher than 69% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 69
4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 57.7

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 17/100 (-6.6 points)

1. Average FinBERT sentiment -0.072 over 3 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone -0.027
2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 17.1

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

MO score history (weekly)

Consumer staples stocks compared

• KO: 61/100
• PM: 50/100
• MDLZ: 50/100
• KHC: 43/100
• PEP: 41/100
• MO: 39/100

Questions

What is Altria Group, Inc.'s (MO) Quantooo score today?

MO scores 39 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, below average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 81st of 99 overall and 6th of 6 in Consumer staples. It was 41 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers MO's score?

Trend adds the most (65/100, +3.0 points) and stability weighs on it most (7/100, -8.7 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is MO stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 21.9% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 18.7% for MO: bumpier than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 7/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are Altria Group, Inc.'s fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +1.6%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +8.6 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -2.1 pp. Fundamentals score: 58/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-07-30 (period to 2026-06-30).

Does the score predict MO's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Consumer staples. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.