Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): stock score 36/100
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) scores 36 out of 100 (below average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.
JNJ scores 35.8 out of 100 (below average), down 0.3 points from last week. Its price trend adds the most (+4.0 points: price is +4.2% vs its 100-day average). Its stability weighs on it most (-9.1 points: forecast 20.8% vs normal 17.3%). Our research found no proven record of these factors predicting returns.
How the score is built
Trend: 70/100 (+4.0 points)
- Price is +4.2% vs its 100-day average → higher than 54% of the comparison group → 54
- 12-1 month momentum +43.4% → higher than 86% of the comparison group → 86
- Average of the two → trend score 70.2
Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.
Stability: 4/100 (-9.1 points)
- Forecast 20.8% vs normal 17.3% → ratio 1.21
- Ratio is higher than 95% of the comparison group → 100 minus 95 → stability 4.5 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)
A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.
Fundamentals: 48/100 (-0.5 points)
- Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +7.4% → higher than 44% of the comparison group → 44
- Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: not available
- Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -0.2 pp → higher than 52% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 52
- Average of available items → fundamentals score 47.8
Not yet tested in our research.
Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)
- VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
- Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
- Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
- Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
- Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)
Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.
News tone: 6/100 (-8.8 points)
- Average FinBERT sentiment +0.084 over 58 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone +0.077
- Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 5.8
Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.
JNJ score history (weekly)
| Week ending | Score | Band | Trend | Stability | Fundamentals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | 36 | Below average | 70 | 5 | 48 |
| 2026-10-16 | 37 | Below average | 68 | 6 | 60 |
| 2026-10-09 | 49 | Around average | 75 | 33 | 60 |
| 2026-10-02 | 51 | Around average | 79 | 30 | 60 |
| 2026-09-25 | 60 | Around average | 86 | 50 | 60 |
| 2026-09-18 | 53 | Around average | 88 | 41 | 60 |
| 2026-09-11 | 52 | Around average | 84 | 25 | 60 |
| 2026-09-04 | 61 | Above average | 87 | 26 | 60 |
| 2026-08-28 | 55 | Around average | 82 | 24 | 60 |
| 2026-08-21 | 50 | Around average | 83 | 23 | 60 |
| 2026-08-14 | 57 | Around average | 73 | 50 | 60 |
| 2026-08-07 | 68 | Above average | 75 | 56 | 60 |
Health care stocks compared
- ABBV: 62/100
- AMGN: 62/100
- LLY: 60/100
- MMM: 59/100
- BIIB: 58/100
- GILD: 54/100
- PFE: 50/100
- BMY: 50/100
- UNH: 49/100
- MDT: 48/100
- MRK: 37/100
- ABT: 36/100
- JNJ: 36/100
Questions
What is Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ) Quantooo score today?
JNJ scores 36 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, below average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 88th of 99 overall and 13th of 13 in Health care. It was 36 a week earlier.
What raises and lowers JNJ's score?
Trend adds the most (70/100, +4.0 points) and stability weighs on it most (4/100, -9.1 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.
Is JNJ stock volatile right now?
Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 20.8% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 17.3% for JNJ: bumpier than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 4/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.
How are Johnson & Johnson's fundamentals changing?
Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +7.4%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: not available; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -0.2 pp. Fundamentals score: 48/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-10-21 (period to 2026-09-27).
Does the score predict JNJ's share price?
No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.
Sector: Health care. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.