ExxonMobil Holdings Corp (XOM): stock score 73/100

ExxonMobil Holdings Corp (XOM) scores 73 out of 100 (above average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

XOM scores 73.5 out of 100 (above average), up 6.2 points from last week. Its stability adds the most (+9.3 points: forecast 21.9% vs normal 23.6%). Its news tone weighs on it most (-1.5 points: average FinBERT sentiment +0.003 over 62 articles). Our risk model is tested on the S&P 500 only.

How the score is built

Trend: 89/100 (+7.9 points)

1. Price is +14.4% vs its 100-day average → higher than 89% of the comparison group → 89
2. 12-1 month momentum +47.2% → higher than 89% of the comparison group → 89
3. Average of the two → trend score 89.4

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 96/100 (+9.3 points)

1. Forecast 21.9% vs normal 23.6% → ratio 0.93
2. Ratio is higher than 4% of the comparison group → 100 minus 4 → stability 96.5 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 88/100 (+7.6 points)

1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +22.2% → higher than 88% of the comparison group → 88
2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: not available
3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: not available
4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 88.1

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 43/100 (-1.5 points)

1. Average FinBERT sentiment +0.003 over 62 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone +0.003
2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 42.7

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

XOM score history (weekly)

Energy stocks compared

• OXY: 82/100
• XOM: 73/100
• CVX: 66/100
• COP: 62/100
• SLB: 45/100

Questions

What is ExxonMobil Holdings Corp's (XOM) Quantooo score today?

XOM scores 73 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, above average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 2nd of 99 overall and 2nd of 5 in Energy. It was 67 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers XOM's score?

Stability adds the most (96/100, +9.3 points) and news tone weighs on it most (43/100, -1.5 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is XOM stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 21.9% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 23.6% for XOM: calmer than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 96/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are ExxonMobil Holdings Corp's fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +22.2%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: not available; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: not available. Fundamentals score: 88/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-08-03 (period to 2026-06-30).

Does the score predict XOM's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Energy. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.