ConocoPhillips (COP): stock score 62/100

ConocoPhillips (COP) scores 62 out of 100 (above average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

COP scores 62.3 out of 100 (above average), up 7.9 points from last week. Its price trend adds the most (+8.9 points: price is +18.0% vs its 100-day average). Its news tone weighs on it most (-6.2 points: average FinBERT sentiment +0.055 over 26 articles). Our research found no proven record of these factors predicting returns.

How the score is built

Trend: 94/100 (+8.9 points)

1. Price is +18.0% vs its 100-day average → higher than 96% of the comparison group → 96
2. 12-1 month momentum +52.9% → higher than 92% of the comparison group → 92
3. Average of the two → trend score 94.4

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 93/100 (+8.7 points)

1. Forecast 27.8% vs normal 29.0% → ratio 0.96
2. Ratio is higher than 7% of the comparison group → 100 minus 7 → stability 93.4 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 54/100 (+0.7 points)

1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +14.4% → higher than 75% of the comparison group → 75
2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: not available
3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +0.9 pp → higher than 32% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 32
4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 53.6

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 19/100 (-6.2 points)

1. Average FinBERT sentiment +0.055 over 26 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone +0.046
2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 19.2

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

COP score history (weekly)

Energy stocks compared

• OXY: 82/100
• XOM: 73/100
• CVX: 66/100
• COP: 62/100
• SLB: 45/100

Questions

What is ConocoPhillips's (COP) Quantooo score today?

COP scores 62 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, above average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 12th of 99 overall and 4th of 5 in Energy. It was 54 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers COP's score?

Trend adds the most (94/100, +8.9 points) and news tone weighs on it most (19/100, -6.2 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is COP stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 27.8% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 29.0% for COP: calmer than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 93/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are ConocoPhillips's fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +14.4%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: not available; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +0.9 pp. Fundamentals score: 54/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-08-06 (period to 2026-06-30).

Does the score predict COP's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Energy. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.