Exelon Corp (EXC): stock score 42/100

Exelon Corp (EXC) scores 42 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

EXC scores 41.9 out of 100 (around average), down 0.9 points from last week. Its news tone adds the most (+2.5 points: average FinBERT sentiment +0.220 over 13 articles). Its stability weighs on it most (-4.7 points: forecast 21.0% vs normal 19.6%). Our research found no proven record of these factors predicting returns.

How the score is built

Trend: 30/100 (-4.0 points)

1. Price is +1.3% vs its 100-day average → higher than 44% of the comparison group → 44
2. 12-1 month momentum -12.1% → higher than 16% of the comparison group → 16
3. Average of the two → trend score 29.8

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 27/100 (-4.7 points)

1. Forecast 21.0% vs normal 19.6% → ratio 1.07
2. Ratio is higher than 73% of the comparison group → 100 minus 73 → stability 26.8 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 40/100 (-2.1 points)

1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +7.9% → higher than 52% of the comparison group → 52
2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: -0.7 pp → higher than 24% of the comparison group → 24
3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +0.3 pp → higher than 43% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 43
4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 39.5

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 62/100 (+2.5 points)

1. Average FinBERT sentiment +0.220 over 13 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone +0.159
2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 62.5

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

EXC score history (weekly)

Utilities stocks compared

• KMI: 60/100
• DUK: 47/100
• SO: 47/100
• NEE: 44/100
• EXC: 42/100

Questions

What is Exelon Corp's (EXC) Quantooo score today?

EXC scores 42 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 75th of 99 overall and 5th of 5 in Utilities. It was 43 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers EXC's score?

News tone adds the most (62/100, +2.5 points) and stability weighs on it most (27/100, -4.7 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is EXC stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 21.0% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 19.6% for EXC: bumpier than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 27/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are Exelon Corp's fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +7.9%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: -0.7 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +0.3 pp. Fundamentals score: 40/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-05-06 (period to 2026-03-31).

Does the score predict EXC's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Utilities. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.