Duke Energy CORP (DUK): stock score 47/100

Duke Energy CORP (DUK) scores 47 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

DUK scores 47.3 out of 100 (around average), down 1.7 points from last week. Its fundamentals add the most (+2.2 points: revenue growth vs a year earlier: +9.5%). Its price trend weighs on it most (-2.7 points: price is +3.1% vs its 100-day average). Fundamentals have not yet been tested in our research.

How the score is built

Trend: 36/100 (-2.7 points)

1. Price is +3.1% vs its 100-day average → higher than 49% of the comparison group → 49
2. 12-1 month momentum -7.9% → higher than 24% of the comparison group → 24
3. Average of the two → trend score 36.4

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 52/100 (+0.4 points)

1. Forecast 17.3% vs normal 16.8% → ratio 1.03
2. Ratio is higher than 48% of the comparison group → 100 minus 48 → stability 52.0 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 61/100 (+2.2 points)

1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +9.5% → higher than 58% of the comparison group → 58
2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +1.8 pp → higher than 64% of the comparison group → 64
3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -0.5 pp → higher than 60% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 60
4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 60.8

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 37/100 (-2.7 points)

1. Average FinBERT sentiment +0.144 over 17 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone +0.112
2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 36.7

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

DUK score history (weekly)

Utilities stocks compared

• KMI: 60/100
• DUK: 47/100
• SO: 47/100
• NEE: 44/100
• EXC: 42/100

Questions

What is Duke Energy CORP's (DUK) Quantooo score today?

DUK scores 47 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 57th of 99 overall and 2nd of 5 in Utilities. It was 49 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers DUK's score?

Fundamentals adds the most (61/100, +2.2 points) and trend weighs on it most (36/100, -2.7 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is DUK stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 17.3% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 16.8% for DUK: bumpier than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 52/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are Duke Energy CORP's fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +9.5%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: +1.8 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -0.5 pp. Fundamentals score: 61/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-05-05 (period to 2026-03-31).

Does the score predict DUK's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Utilities. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.