AT&T Inc. (T): stock score 27/100

AT&T Inc. (T) scores 27 out of 100 (below average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

T scores 27.3 out of 100 (below average), down 9.6 points from last week. No component raises it much. Its stability weighs on it most (-9.5 points: forecast 29.6% vs normal 23.5%). Our research found no proven record of these factors predicting returns.

How the score is built

Trend: 29/100 (-4.2 points)

1. Price is -2.9% vs its 100-day average → higher than 23% of the comparison group → 23
2. 12-1 month momentum +0.6% → higher than 35% of the comparison group → 35
3. Average of the two → trend score 28.8

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 2/100 (-9.5 points)

1. Forecast 29.6% vs normal 23.5% → ratio 1.26
2. Ratio is higher than 97% of the comparison group → 100 minus 97 → stability 2.5 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 18/100 (-6.3 points)

1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +3.5% → higher than 17% of the comparison group → 17
2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: -1.3 pp → higher than 20% of the comparison group → 20
3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: not available
4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 18.3

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 36/100 (-2.7 points)

1. Average FinBERT sentiment +0.062 over 79 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone +0.059
2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 36.3

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

T score history (weekly)

Communication stocks compared

• VZ: 46/100
• T: 27/100
• CHTR: 23/100
• CMCSA: 21/100

Questions

What is AT&T Inc.'s (T) Quantooo score today?

T scores 27 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, below average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 95th of 99 overall and 2nd of 4 in Communication. It was 37 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers T's score?

Market backdrop adds the most (51/100, +0.2 points) and stability weighs on it most (2/100, -9.5 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is T stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 29.6% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 23.5% for T: bumpier than usual for this stock. Its stability score is 2/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are AT&T Inc.'s fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +3.5%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: -1.3 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: not available. Fundamentals score: 18/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-10-21 (period to 2026-09-30).

Does the score predict T's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Communication. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.