Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG): stock score 45/100

Simon Property Group Inc. (SPG) scores 45 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

SPG scores 44.7 out of 100 (around average), down 4.9 points from last week. Its stability adds the most (+3.2 points: forecast 22.6% vs normal 22.4%). Its news tone weighs on it most (-9.9 points: average FinBERT sentiment -0.428 over 7 articles). Our risk model is tested on the S&P 500 only.

How the score is built

Trend: 50/100 (+0.1 points)

1. Price is -0.4% vs its 100-day average → higher than 39% of the comparison group → 39
2. 12-1 month momentum +19.5% → higher than 62% of the comparison group → 62
3. Average of the two → trend score 50.5

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 66/100 (+3.2 points)

1. Forecast 22.6% vs normal 22.4% → ratio 1.01
2. Ratio is higher than 34% of the comparison group → 100 minus 34 → stability 66.2 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 56/100 (+1.1 points)

1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +19.4% → higher than 83% of the comparison group → 83
2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: -4.8 pp → higher than 5% of the comparison group → 5
3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -3.8 pp → higher than 79% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 79
4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 55.7

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 1/100 (-9.9 points)

1. Average FinBERT sentiment -0.428 over 7 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone -0.250
2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 0.6

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

SPG score history (weekly)

Real estate stocks compared

• SPG: 45/100
• AMT: 31/100

Questions

What is Simon Property Group Inc.'s (SPG) Quantooo score today?

SPG scores 45 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 68th of 99 overall and 1st of 2 in Real estate. It was 50 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers SPG's score?

Stability adds the most (66/100, +3.2 points) and news tone weighs on it most (1/100, -9.9 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is SPG stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 22.6% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 22.4% for SPG: about as calm as usual for this stock. Its stability score is 66/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are Simon Property Group Inc.'s fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: +19.4%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: -4.8 pp; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: -3.8 pp. Fundamentals score: 56/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-08-10 (period to 2026-06-30).

Does the score predict SPG's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Real estate. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.