Dow Inc. (DOW): stock score 47/100

Dow Inc. (DOW) scores 47 out of 100 (around average among 99 US stocks) on trend, stability, fundamentals, market backdrop and news tone. Every calculation step shown. Educational, not advice.

DOW scores 47.3 out of 100 (around average), up 3.3 points from last week. Its stability adds the most (+4.8 points: forecast 37.1% vs normal 37.4%). Its fundamentals weigh on it most (-8.5 points: revenue growth vs a year earlier: -6.1%). Our risk model is tested on the S&P 500 only.

How the score is built

Trend: 71/100 (+4.2 points)

1. Price is +6.3% vs its 100-day average → higher than 61% of the comparison group → 61
2. 12-1 month momentum +38.2% → higher than 81% of the comparison group → 81
3. Average of the two → trend score 71.2

Tested in our research: the trend rule did not hold up out of sample.

Stability: 74/100 (+4.8 points)

1. Forecast 37.1% vs normal 37.4% → ratio 0.99
2. Ratio is higher than 26% of the comparison group → 100 minus 26 → stability 74.2 (bigger expected swings than usual → lower stability)

A machine-learning volatility model beat HAR for the S&P 500 (p = 0.04); not yet tested on single stocks. This component uses HAR.

Fundamentals: 7/100 (-8.5 points)

1. Revenue growth vs a year earlier: -6.1% → higher than 1% of the comparison group → 1
2. Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: not available
3. Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +3.7 pp → higher than 14% of the comparison group (lower is better) → 14
4. Average of available items → fundamentals score 7.4

Not yet tested in our research.

Market backdrop: 51/100 (+0.2 points)

1. VIX in its 5-year range: 60 after inverting (lower VIX → higher)
2. Breadth vs its 5-year range → 45
3. Credit trend vs its 5-year range → 15
4. Yield curve vs its 5-year range → 83
5. Average → backdrop score 50.8 (same for every stock)

Tested in our research: cross-asset indicators did not improve forecasts.

News tone: 33/100 (-3.5 points)

1. Average FinBERT sentiment +0.047 over 16 articles; shrunk towards 0 for few articles → tone +0.036
2. Tone vs this stock's own past year → news score 32.7

Tested in our research: news sentiment made predictions slightly worse.

DOW score history (weekly)

Materials stocks compared

• DD: 54/100
• DOW: 47/100
• CL: 47/100
• PG: 33/100

Questions

What is Dow Inc.'s (DOW) Quantooo score today?

DOW scores 47 out of 100 on 2026-10-22, around average among 99 US stocks. It ranks 58th of 99 overall and 2nd of 4 in Materials. It was 44 a week earlier.

What raises and lowers DOW's score?

Stability adds the most (74/100, +4.8 points) and fundamentals weighs on it most (7/100, -8.5 points). The score is 50 plus each part's weighted distance from 50.

Is DOW stock volatile right now?

Our volatility model (HAR) expects annualised swings of 37.1% over the next 20 trading days, against a normal level of 37.4% for DOW: about as calm as usual for this stock. Its stability score is 74/100 compared with the other 99 US stocks.

How are Dow Inc.'s fundamentals changing?

Revenue growth vs a year earlier: -6.1%; Operating-margin change vs a year earlier: not available; Change in leverage (1 - equity/assets) vs a year earlier: +3.7 pp. Fundamentals score: 7/100. From the 10-Q filed 2026-04-24 (period to 2026-03-31).

Does the score predict DOW's share price?

No. The score describes the stock's recent data; it is not a forecast of the share price. Our own tests found no reliable ability to rank stocks by future returns, and every test, including the failures, is published. Educational, not investment advice.

Sector: Materials. Data as of 2026-10-22. Scores describe data; they are not recommendations or predictions. Educational, not investment advice.